Fed raises Interest Rates
EU Rejects Proof of Work Limitations
The EU has rejected a rule that would have banned Proof of Work mining. The proposed Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA) framework included a last-minute addition targeting this energy-intense mining, but the addition was struck down by the European Parliament’s economic and monetary affairs committee this week.
The proposal had received huge backlash from the crypto industry worldwide, and Jake Chervinsky, Head of Policy at the Blockchain Association, had suspected that MiCA’s PoW ban was “a pretext for a bitcoin ban.” He said:
“Make no mistake: if they manage to ban PoW, they’ll come for PoS next, & every other Sybil resistance mechanism after that.”
This decision now marks a strong win for crypto miners across 27 countries in the European Union, and it will continue to allow competitive mining and potential for widespread growth in that region of the world.
The Fed, The Can, and The End of the Road
The US Federal Reserve has raised benchmark interest rates by .25% in its first rate hike since 2018. Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, said:
"We feel the economy is very strong and will be able to withstand tighter monetary policy."
Whether the economy is actually strong enough, and what that actually means anyway, seems a secondary concern to the fact that the Fed has backed itself into a very tight corner. Inflation is soaring, hitting a new 40-year high of 7.9% this February, and the hope is that raising interest rates will help slow this down.
Essentially how this complex mechanism of centrally controlling the money supply works is that the Treasury issues bonds (basically IOUs from the government) and then places like Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan buy these bonds from the Treasury. Then the Fed prints money to buy these bonds from the banks. If they buy fewer bonds (and hence print less money to do so) then the price of the bonds will go down (simple supply and demand).
Because the bond is itself an IOU with the government saying “we agree to pay you x amount in 5, 10, 20 years etc” then if the initial price you pay for that bond goes down, you are essentially getting more money when the government eventually pays you for it. Or in other words, you’re getting more “interest”. So the mechanism of setting the interest rate higher essentially means “we’ll print less money, to make the current price of bonds lower, so that the interest you get on your initial purchase is greater. The main macro impact of Fed policy is not through changing rates, but through changing money supply.
Interest rates have been kept close to zero for years, and now “.25%” interest is being called “hawkish” as the Fed finally starts to reign in their incredibly loose monetary policy. The coming credit crunch will likely make the road ahead (where the government has been kicking the can for a very long time) a very bumpy ride. Hang on tight.
Ukraine Legalizes Crypto
Ukraine has officially legalized the crypto sector after receiving more than $100 million in cryptocurrency donations to help fight against the Russian invasion. President Zelensky signed a bill into law this week that “determines the legal status, classification, ownership and regulators of virtual assets, as well as setting registration requirements for crypto services providers,” according to a statement from the Ministry of Digital Transformation.
The statement detailed that Ukraine's National Commission on Securities will be handling the regulatory aspects, and their Ministry of Finance will be “working on amendments to the country's tax and civil codes to fully launch the market for virtual assets”. Cryptocurrency has proven to be a lifeline for many in Ukraine. It’s great to see a country where politics is keeping up with the people’s needs when it comes to money, rather than standing in the way.
Elizabeth Warren’s Unconstitutional Crypto Bill
Senator Elizabeth Warren introduced a new bill to Congress this week designed to target those who would use and develop crypto/blockchain technology to get around Russian sanctions. The Digital Asset Sanctions Compliance Enhancement Act states that its purpose is “to impose sanctions with respect to the use of cryptocurrency to facilitate transactions by Russian persons subject to sanctions, and for other purposes”.
The language in this bill is reminiscent of the much debated “broker” definition that made its way into the $550 Billion infrastructure bill late last year. Essentially, this new crypto bill would overbroadly define “transaction facilitator” to include software engineers, developers, crypto exchanges, even participants in conversations on “communications platforms.” Coin Center said:
“The bill would place sweeping restrictions on persons who build, operate, and use cryptocurrency networks even if they have no knowledge or intent to help anyone evade sanctions. It calls for sanctioning technologists and users merely for the act of publishing open source software or facilitating communication among network participants. This is unnecessary, overbroad, and unconstitutional.”
Not only is the bill unconstitutional, it’s also predicated on a fabricated narrative. Experts in government and across the crypto industry alike have published findings that crypto is not being used by Russia to avoid sanctions in any meaningful way. In fact both the White House and the Treasury Dept have said that Russia’s potential usage of cryptocurrency to fund its war efforts would not be a viable tactical route.
Carol House, the director of cybersecurity for the National Security Council, during a webinar on Wednesday, said:
“The scale that the Russian state would need to successfully circumvent all U.S. and partners’ financial sanctions would almost certainly render cryptocurrency as an ineffective primary tool for the state.”
The Treasury said:
“The scale of what they have to move, and where they have to move things from, [crypto’s] not necessarily going to be that concerning,” said Todd Conklin, counselor to the deputy Treasury secretary. Any attempt to move that much money through exchanges would contribute to “a bit more of a spike in the crypto market, in my view, than has been observed lately.”
Nevertheless, Warren tried to paint coin mixing and non-custodial wallets as sanction-evading tools in a senate hearing this week (never let a good crisis go to waste, as they say). Jony Levin, co-founder of Chainalysis, shut down her accusations, saying that these tools don’t make it any easier for people to hide their funds (and this should also be a wake up call for those who still consider coinjoin a robust privacy solution).
Despite these attempts to take monetary power away from individuals, it seems this bill is currently toothless. Jerry Brito tweeted:
"It is not time to call Congress. This is not a moment to pull the red alert lever. This bill, as it stands, so obviously lacks support that it likely won't move. Let's not cry wolf."
Let’s hope this is the case.
By Will Sandoval, NBTV Associate Producer, and Naomi Brockwell.